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Analyse :

Musetti survived a first round scare as the Italian had to rally from a set down to beat Bulgaria’s Alexandar Lazarov in two hours and 42 minutes. Musetti managed to save 3 out of 4 break points and needed 5 set points to win the 2th set in a tie break. 

Struff won all three of his Davis Cup matches and qualified in Sofia before beating Dusan Lajovic and a strong 6-3 6-1 win over Ugo Humbert. Struff didn’t face a single break point in the match, while he broke the Ugo twice in both the sets. 

After taking a closer look at both players their performances on hard indoor we see that Struff has the better indoor game with his big hitting serve while Musetti’s game is more suited for clay or outdoor hard. Struff had some really impressive results last year on hard indoor (beating Shapo and Bublik in straight sets). 

Taking a closer look trough our tennis betting model we can see that both players have a similar elo rating with a similar serve and return. I think this one will be won due to the better suitable game and experience of Struff.