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ANALYSIS
Stake :
Methode A :3%
Methode B :Â 4,50%
Following a straight-sets victory over Tsitsipas, Djokovic took on Andrey Rublev in his next group match. Both players remained steady on serve for the better part of the first set.Â
Djokovic raised his level even more in the second set. Djoko bagged the next three games to win the match 6-4, 6-1 and secure his place in the semifinals.
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At this moment Djokovic will face  Fritz or Auger in the semi-finals no matter what the result will be against Medvedev, Djoko will be first in the group. Djokovic should be able to beat either of them certainly as both have issues with staying consistent during the whole match.
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After that Djoko could in a possible final face Rublev or Tsitsipas (both already beaten in 2-0 by Djoko) or Ruud who shouldn’t be an issue too for him so I am quite convinced on this one.
ANALYSIS
Challenge Step 2
Stake :
Methode A :Â 3,36%
Methode B :Â 5,04%
Tsitsipas started his finals with a defeat against Djokovic which meant he needed a win against Medvedev to keep semifinal hopes alive. Yet he managed to win this one in 3 sets.
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Tsitsipas looked to be in trouble against Medvedev after failing to close out the match in the second set. However, he regrouped in the nick of time to finish the match on a strong note. The Greek struck 47 winners while committing 25 unforced errors.
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Rublev was expected to put up more of a fight against Djokovic but got outplayed instead. His second serve was frequently attacked and he’ll need to be more mindful of that in his next match.
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The fast conditions here change the momentum in the blink of an eye. Tsitsipas will need to contend with the pace and power coming off of Rublev’s shots. The Greek did manage to win quite a high number of points by coming forward to the net against Medvedev and could employ the strategy yet again.
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Tsitsipas has been a tad better than Rublev in handling pressure situations which is why I see Rublev break mentally which could be fatal for him.
ANALYSIS
Stake :
Methode A :Â 1,35% (play with the gains of Ruud)
Methode B :Â 2,17%
Nadal’s comeback match at the Paris Masters was a little disappointing. He started well but faded in the third set as he was unable to keep up physically. He explained that he has some nauseous had which is why he lost 6-1 in the deciding set.
Fritz has given the Spaniard enough trouble this year and has the potential to do so again if he ups his game a bit. Fritz won their final at the Indian Wells as Nadal was injured but would not retire in a 2-0 loss.
The American isn’t too daunted by Nadal’s forehand and unleashes his own with equal intensity. His serve can also get him out of trouble when needed. Yet Fritz doesn’t seem that well in form recently after his victory in Tokio over Tiafoe.
It all depends on how Nadal’s body holds up. If he’s fully fit, he has staged enough comebacks to know what it takes to get the job done. I think that Nadal knows the importance to win the first match here at the masters and I think the odd for it is way too high.
Knowing that Ruud already won today I don’t think we will see 2 non-favo’s win today.
ANALYSIS
Stake :
Methode A :Â 1,50%
Methode B :Â 2,25%
Most people will probably pick Auger fort this game knowing how he has been performing lately, meanwhile besides his last 17 games been very consistent beating some good players, he didn’t show that much of consistency this year While Ruud did
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Ruud has managed to string together yet another consistent season. He claimed three titles this year, lifting trophies in Buenos Aires, Geneva and Gstaad. He reached his maiden Masters 1000 final at the Miami Open but fell to an unbeatable Alcaraz at that time
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Ruud might be not in a good form but his serve is mostly very consistent. He does well at tie breaks too and the odd is just way too high in my eyes.
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Even when you check H2H, Ruud has always been able to take a set.
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This is purely a value bet in my eyes.
ANALYSIS
Stake :
Methode A :1%
Methode B :Â 1,50%
Stricker is playing Musetti today, both were impressive yesterday by beating Tseng (who wasn’t really a challenge for Musetti at all) and Stricker who managed to beat Draper in 3 sets was really impressive.
Stricker need one more victory against Musetti or Tseng to qualify for the semi-finals. I think that he can make it difficult for Musetti today as he has a little advantage as a lefthanded who can hit balls with a lot of power and also possesses a good right handed shot.
For me the other players like Nakashima and Lehecka will have some difficulties to beat Stricker in a possible semi – final too.
The odd is too high for Stricker to win this one after his display yesterday.
ANALYSIS
Stake :
Methode A :Â 1,50%
Methode B :Â 2,25%
Beautiful odd for Ruud to win today who has taken out a good playing Gasquet in the first round. It is true that Ruud wasn’t playing his best after his defeat in the US Open final but this solid victory will give him some extra self confidence for the one of today against Musetti.Â
Can he now emulate his previous season’s showing at the Paris Masters where he had defeated Alexander Bublik and Marcos Giron to make the last eight.
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I think that Ruud will win this one as he may not have the strong shots but he also doesn’t have the weak shots and his right shot can be really really precise.
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Musetti on the other hand played quite well against Cilic who had way too many unforced errors in his game and after against a Basilashvili already a year not in form.Â
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Another reason why I prefer to bet on Ruud is due to the fact that Musetti has moments in matches where he seems absent and not 100% concentrated which will be punished by Ruud who wants to defend his points at all cost.
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Taking a look at our betting model we can see that Ruud should actually have an odd of 1,46 on hard which gives us some good value on this one.
ANALYSIS
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Stake :
Methode A :Â 2,00%
Methode B :Â 3,00%
Norrie needs a good tournament here to be sure of his place as a replacement in case of injury for someone at the ATP Nitto Finals. He can still qualify for them but then needs to almost win the tournament.Â
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It is true that Norrie’s form has faded a bit since his US Open tour as he only managed to beat Fritz (Davis Cup), Karatsev and Cachin since then.
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Yet the same thing can be said over Kecmanovic. Kecmanovic hasn’t been able to be as dominant as he was in the 2 Masters in Indian Wells and Miami so there are certainly opportunities for Norrie to relaunch his form.Â
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If we take a look at the stats we can see that Norrie has the weaker serve on hard but yet the better return, under pressure rating and he manages to win more tiebreaks than Kecmanovic. I think there is a chance this one will go in 3 sets but Norrie should be able to win that last one then.Â